Predictions It's January, so everyone is making predictions. A couple of the most interesting are from John Mark Reynolds and Robert X. Cringely. John Mark Reynold's predictions are "cultural", while Cringely's are predictions for technology and the computer industry.

The most intersting prediction from Reynolds is his thinking on Iran. He states:

Iran will become more important in the news than Iraq. Iraq will begin to move toward peace and the mullahs will feel the threat of reaction to a democratic neighbor in their own people. When in trouble, dictators demonize Jews and Americans. Expect the nuclear program to continue and for someone (Israel if the worst happens) to take it out. Have the doves so ham-strung Bush that he will not be able to keep this rotten regime from getting weapons we know they will use?

I think he is right on here. This is a regime that must be watched carefully and we must be ready to act. Their latest strategy is to deny that the Holocaust every occurred. They are going to hold a conference on it. And these guys are going to have nukes? I don't think so...

Cringely's most interesting prediction is probably this one for Google:

Google will continue to roll out new products and services as it builds out its infrastructure for a huge push in 2007. They'll need money, of course, so I predict a supplemental stock offering timed with a 20-to-1 stock split. 2006 is a building year for Google.

I'm not sure what "a building year" for Google means, and I'm not sure I agree. I think that Google will begin to use its dominance to solidify its position as the place to go on the net. We will see.

And predictions from me . . . maybe later, not today. Now I'm off to keep working on my dissertation.  ¶ 6:46 AM 0 comments